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Re: Outboard industry in trouble?
[Re: SC-001]
#15143877
07/28/24 08:22 PM
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Joined: Sep 2008
Posts: 2,154
fishnfireman
Extreme Angler
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Extreme Angler
Joined: Sep 2008
Posts: 2,154 |
Why would they have to "rebadge" them ? Outboards don't sell by year model now. They are not assigned a year model until they are sold which in my opinion is BS.
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Re: Outboard industry in trouble?
[Re: grout-scout]
#15143900
07/28/24 08:58 PM
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Joined: Apr 2017
Posts: 14,626
tmd11111
TFF Guru
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TFF Guru
Joined: Apr 2017
Posts: 14,626 |
Team Marine posted a video yesterday that Mercury is laying off 1700 hourly employees. John Deere had a massive layoff and is moving to Mexico as well. #FJB & FKH Mercury's layoffs are due to sales, or lack thereof. Deere's is due to greed and NAFTA
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Re: Outboard industry in trouble?
[Re: fishnfireman]
#15143901
07/28/24 08:59 PM
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Joined: Mar 2005
Posts: 7,496
SC-001
OP
TFF Celebrity
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OP
TFF Celebrity
Joined: Mar 2005
Posts: 7,496 |
Why would they have to "rebadge" them ? Outboards don't sell by year model now. They are not assigned a year model until they are sold which in my opinion is BS. There is a serial # on them, that # is linked to a year model, that data can't be changed... so you just scrape the serial @ and replace I guess
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Re: Outboard industry in trouble?
[Re: grout-scout]
#15143980
07/28/24 09:48 PM
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Joined: Apr 2017
Posts: 14,626
tmd11111
TFF Guru
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TFF Guru
Joined: Apr 2017
Posts: 14,626 |
In Deeres case it wasn't just the economy. If so, it would have just been layoffs. Not only are they laying off they are moving some production to Mexico.
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Re: Outboard industry in trouble?
[Re: grout-scout]
#15143982
07/28/24 10:00 PM
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Joined: Feb 2012
Posts: 7,983
Caymas Cx 21
TFF Celebrity
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TFF Celebrity
Joined: Feb 2012
Posts: 7,983 |
Just wait till Hawk Tuh Harris gets ahold of it, it will be fuster cluck .
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Re: Outboard industry in trouble?
[Re: grandbassslayer]
#15144109
07/29/24 12:48 AM
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Joined: Feb 2008
Posts: 14,736
DanXB-21
TFF Guru
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TFF Guru
Joined: Feb 2008
Posts: 14,736 |
... Probably lots of 150 and 180 month terms but none of my business. I agree I still see lots of new high end stuff on the road and in the water, just wonder how many folks are going deeply into debt to do it. No, mostly 225's 250's and a few 300's... People are going big... Lots of older Stratos, Pro Crafts and Rangers... Stop at a local boat dock for a beer and lunch yesterday and there was a tritoon with twin 450's... Asked about speed and he said he's got it up 78 before he lost his nerve and backed out of it... Very impressive when he got to the end of the no wake zone and nailed it... Dan
"The problem with having a sense of humor is often that people you use it on aren't in a very good mood"... Lou Holtz
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Re: Outboard industry in trouble?
[Re: DanXB-21]
#15144168
07/29/24 02:01 AM
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Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 4,206
David Burton
TFF Team Angler
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TFF Team Angler
Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 4,206 |
... Probably lots of 150 and 180 month terms but none of my business. I agree I still see lots of new high end stuff on the road and in the water, just wonder how many folks are going deeply into debt to do it. No, mostly 225's 250's and a few 300's... People are going big... Lots of older Stratos, Pro Crafts and Rangers... Stop at a local boat dock for a beer and lunch yesterday and there was a tritoon with twin 450's... Asked about speed and he said he's got it up 78 before he lost his nerve and backed out of it... Very impressive when he got to the end of the no wake zone and nailed it... Dan What the?  Please say you misread that as HP instead of financing?
David Burton 2015 Skeeter FX 21 +Ultrex +Helix 12 (x3) +Mega360 +MegaLive
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Re: Outboard industry in trouble?
[Re: David Burton]
#15144175
07/29/24 02:16 AM
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Joined: Apr 2017
Posts: 14,626
tmd11111
TFF Guru
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TFF Guru
Joined: Apr 2017
Posts: 14,626 |
... Probably lots of 150 and 180 month terms but none of my business. I agree I still see lots of new high end stuff on the road and in the water, just wonder how many folks are going deeply into debt to do it. No, mostly 225's 250's and a few 300's... People are going big... Lots of older Stratos, Pro Crafts and Rangers... Stop at a local boat dock for a beer and lunch yesterday and there was a tritoon with twin 450's... Asked about speed and he said he's got it up 78 before he lost his nerve and backed out of it... Very impressive when he got to the end of the no wake zone and nailed it... Dan What the?  Please say you misread that as HP instead of financing? If you finance 2hp a month for 150 months you'll have a ...................... 
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Re: Outboard industry in trouble?
[Re: tmd11111]
#15144177
07/29/24 02:21 AM
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Joined: Nov 2014
Posts: 27,005
SteezMacQueen
TFF Guru
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TFF Guru
Joined: Nov 2014
Posts: 27,005 |
... Probably lots of 150 and 180 month terms but none of my business. I agree I still see lots of new high end stuff on the road and in the water, just wonder how many folks are going deeply into debt to do it. No, mostly 225's 250's and a few 300's... People are going big... Lots of older Stratos, Pro Crafts and Rangers... Stop at a local boat dock for a beer and lunch yesterday and there was a tritoon with twin 450's... Asked about speed and he said he's got it up 78 before he lost his nerve and backed out of it... Very impressive when he got to the end of the no wake zone and nailed it... Dan What the?  Please say you misread that as HP instead of financing? If you finance 2hp a month for 150 months you'll have a ......................  
Eat. Sleep. Fish.
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Re: Outboard industry in trouble?
[Re: SC-001]
#15144278
07/29/24 12:11 PM
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Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 538
BCB
Pro Angler
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Pro Angler
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 538 |
Everyone is falling into the hype being created. The market is normalizing, not falling. We are not aware of any cash up front demands from Mercury Marine, of companies which are in good standing on the credit schedules.
Bass boats have gone back to where the market was in 2018-2019, it’s no longer a pandemic bubble to fish and go outside. Some companies came in during that era and thought that normal would continue. People are back in work mode and the industry did not slow down soon enough. It’s also normal that when things adjust and production is ramped up, field inventory has to build to slow down the factory output. People had staff and they continued building as the markets normalized.
The expectations for Q2 are slight single digit growth in registrations of aluminum and fiberglass bass markets. Though inventory is definitely needing yo come down. There are two of the long standing bass boat companies down single digits in Q1 data, while one newcomer went from 49 annual registrations to 55 last quarter. The numbers will adjust as reporting gets cleaner.
Mercury Marine reached out and added product lines with plans for the V-12 and V-10 during the pre-CoVid era and continued the growth through CoVid. The addition of new product lines is continuing to produce well as the V-12 and V-10 markets are just now slowing, though the trend for outboards replacing internal engines is strong. This is a new segment for the industry and Mercury has limited competition there.
They have been on a growth spurt since inception of the new four stroke platform since 2017’s intro of product, and underestimated the demand in the switch when they created a V-8 platform. From 200-300 V-8, and the 450R to 500R, they have seen significant growth on their brand. Eventually it’s was going to catch up, and it has to some degree. There also remains to be a back log on certain parts, that haven’t caught up to higher demand, like propellers for example. Fury’s are still hard to come by. This has all been a perfect storm for those in Fon du lac. This is the only domestically produced high HP outboard, while smaller engines are made overseas, by Tohatsu. They also have their own plant in China for 3 horsepower classes.
The international competition could not keep up during CoVid, as Yamaha, Tohatsu, Suzuki and Honda have blocks and parts built in other countries. The complexity of overseas shipping, labor, and CoVid restrictions, restricted their production. While any company would have been glad to had taken of the market spurt, Mercury did.
During CoVid we received less than 12 Yamaha outboards annually during any model year. Yamaha focused on covering their 100% Yamaha clients, and we are not one. Even those clients did not meet the demand for product from Yamaha. Mercury reached out and added market share in some of those companies. They also had a slug of dealer and OEM engine orders that were fictitious and got cancelled when shipments started flowing. Pre-CoVid they couldn’t keep up, and would not add some newer boat companies that started as Yamaha only, Caymas was one example in their early Yamaha only offering.
As for the product year vs. model year, that’s been beat up plenty here and elsewhere. We opposed it then, and we have said so. Both Yamaha and Mercury went that direction, which is complex in states that title outboards. Production in 2024 could be December of 2023 now, for an engine that will be going on a 2025 model year boat.
They build it, ship it to port with a time delay loading, freighter it to Washington or Long Beach, CA, customs and the warehouse there receive it, ship it to distribution in WA/CA, and from there Yamaha goes to the distribution in Kennesaw, to be shipped to boat builders or dealers. They didn’t complete a thorough thought as to how states would title these when they made that decision. With no model year designation those title states are forced to use the production date on the MSO, and that causes the issue.
The sky is definitely lower, but it hasn’t fallen yet. And yes they are too Danged expensive, but everything is and it always hits those price spurts over time. Every tariff, interest charge and importation duty has to be paid by the consumer. Only those receiving incentives at home get insulated from production and CPI costs.
BCB
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Re: Outboard industry in trouble?
[Re: SC-001]
#15144313
07/29/24 01:04 PM
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Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 17,680
grout-scout
TFF Guru
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TFF Guru
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 17,680 |
Problem is, this isn’t the bottom, not even close.
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Re: Outboard industry in trouble?
[Re: David Burton]
#15144318
07/29/24 01:08 PM
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Joined: Dec 2005
Posts: 4,389
ogles824 (aka Lakewaydr50)
TFF Team Angler
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TFF Team Angler
Joined: Dec 2005
Posts: 4,389 |
I am in an industry that always seems to feel things first. People are creatures of habit and habits are a bit slow to change. People are also optimistic at first. When things started to go up most tend to think it will be short lived and make no adjustments, at least People above pay check to pay check. They are used to eating out multiple times a week, they are used to their summer vacations, they are used to buying certain luxury items, a newbcar every so many years, maybe a new boat every so often. As this thing has drug on and on they start seeing their income not cover their habits and they see their cc card that they may pay off every month start to grow a balance. At some point they start to adjust their habits because the math doesn't work. First thing they do is stoo eating out as much, see all the restaurants closing now, then they work down the list of must haves and easy expense adjustments. Drive the car linger rather than buying new, kill the Florida vacation and head to Galveston or something cheaper, they don't want to dump the boat and may not be able to depending on how they bought it but they damn sure won't buy a new one. It's gonna get nasty I feel like in next year. I know my vendors are mumbling about accounts bouncing checks, people getting put on cash, having to work with accounts to get balances settled. I'm hearing the same from retail and certain service related business. The high end buyer will always be there but the middle is getting squeezed. Agreed, I went to Allen this week with my wife; she usually takes me as a body guard when she goes to DFW, she was attending a two day teacher's conference and we spent a couple of days in a hotel there on Central Expressway (75). Right next door to the hotel we were in was about four or five chain restaurants, one was already closed and I honestly thought they were all closed by the traffic I wasn't seeing, most of the day they sat with an empty parking lot and when lunch and dinner time rolled around they might have three to four cars out front at the most. One of them was an On the Border and we decided to eat dinner there one evening. They had a skeleton crew running it and were giving us free stuff to come back, I tipped the waiter about 20% for good service but I could also tell by the way he was acting his paychecks weren't that great. The hotel we stayed in was also suffering low usage as well. We are doing OK but we don't eat out no where near as much as we used to, we cut back on fast food as well, if I'm going to pay what it currently cost to get a cheese burger, fries, and a drink I'd just as soon go eat in a sit down restaurant environment. Side note: Obviously I went to Cabelas while I was there and it was mid week AM when I was there and they were slow as well, I think they had more employees in the store than customers. Shelves weren't empty but kind of gappy like things had run out on inventory and they just had restocked them in quiet a while. The new restaurants just up the road at Stacy are booming. They simply over saturated that particular area. We were in Rockwall later and stopped at Rosa's Cantina for lunch and they were packed, Torchy's right next door as well. The restaurants in Allen had one of those mega apartment complexes behind them, literally just walking distance from those restaurants, I didn't get it, now I do. The new places can suck the life out of the old established restaurants. I've seen that before.
2012 ZX200 Skeeter 2012 Yamaha 200 SHO Isaiah 40:31 "but those who hope in the Lord will renew their strength. They will soar on wings like eagles, they will run and not grow weary, they will walk and not be faint. Proud student of the Pro Staffer. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TzwF72B2F2w&t=14s
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Re: Outboard industry in trouble?
[Re: SC-001]
#15144323
07/29/24 01:18 PM
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Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 16,992
ezbassin
TFF Guru
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TFF Guru
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 16,992 |
The entire United States is in trouble if Democrats stay in charge. if so,, we are doomed, all of us not just various industries here in the US.
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Re: Outboard industry in trouble?
[Re: ezbassin]
#15144329
07/29/24 01:22 PM
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Joined: Dec 2005
Posts: 4,389
ogles824 (aka Lakewaydr50)
TFF Team Angler
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TFF Team Angler
Joined: Dec 2005
Posts: 4,389 |
The entire United States is in trouble if Democrats stay in charge. if so,, we are doomed, all of us not just various industries here in the US. 
2012 ZX200 Skeeter 2012 Yamaha 200 SHO Isaiah 40:31 "but those who hope in the Lord will renew their strength. They will soar on wings like eagles, they will run and not grow weary, they will walk and not be faint. Proud student of the Pro Staffer. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TzwF72B2F2w&t=14s
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