Texas Fishing Forum

OT Experts - Kentucky Derby

Posted By: Ted Dyer

OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/02/22 06:44 PM

Who you got?

at this moment in time, I'm leaning these 3 in this order:

1. Epicenter
2. Taiba
3. White Abarrio
Posted By: hopalong

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/02/22 07:14 PM

1 5 7 box exacta, box trifecta

field over 1 3 and reverse 1 3 over field


track is gonna be super muddy, turf soggy n soft, take that into consideration.

the favorite is not going to run better than 4th historically in those conditions.
Posted By: hopalong

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/02/22 07:17 PM

do some 2 horse box exactas for 2-5 bucks, 5 only costs 10 to box and longshot returns usually pay well.


missed betting on pat day way back when I lived in co. and he was on a horse in the field and something like 15 or 20-1, next 2 in line were also in the same long shot odds.

the one time I didn't bet one of my favorite jockeys. bang

I was off some. lol


With Arazi sent off at 9-10 odds, Lil E. Tee was 16-1 and returned $35.60 to win, the best payoff for a Derby winner since Ferdinand’s $37.40 in 1986 and the 10th best Derby price ever.

The $2 exacta on Lil E. Tee and Casual Lies paid $854.40.

Posted By: butch sanders

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/02/22 07:25 PM

Classic Causeway
Posted By: spacejunkie

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/02/22 07:42 PM

1. Zandon
2. White Abarrio
3. Cyberknife

If Epicenter was in the middle or outside that would be my # 1.
Posted By: hopalong

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/02/22 07:56 PM

wish we could bet online in Tx.

gonna be at fork so won't even be watching it.
Posted By: Flyfisherman

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/02/22 08:03 PM

I’m going in person. I can’t wait. Haven’t decided on my bets though.
Posted By: hopalong

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/02/22 08:08 PM

Originally Posted by hopalong
1 5 7 box exacta, box trifecta

field over 1 3 and reverse 1 3 over field


track is gonna be super muddy, turf soggy n soft, take that into consideration.

the favorite is not going to run better than 4th historically in those conditions.



Originally Posted by Flyfisherman
I’m going in person. I can’t wait. Haven’t decided on my bets though.



thumb
Posted By: butch sanders

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/02/22 08:26 PM

Originally Posted by Flyfisherman
I’m going in person. I can’t wait. Haven’t decided on my bets though.


it is a blast
Louisville is cooking this week
have fun

we were building Thunder Run at Kentucky Kingdom during Derby week
also watched the Grateful Dead from on top of the ride
Posted By: butch sanders

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/02/22 08:27 PM

Originally Posted by hopalong
wish we could bet online in Tx.

gonna be at fork so won't even be watching it.


my neighbor figured out how to do it from his desk top computer
it is an account
not an app
Posted By: Flyfisherman

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/02/22 08:56 PM

Originally Posted by butch sanders
Originally Posted by Flyfisherman
I’m going in person. I can’t wait. Haven’t decided on my bets though.


it is a blast
Louisville is cooking this week
have fun

we were building Thunder Run at Kentucky Kingdom during Derby week
also watched the Grateful Dead from on top of the ride


I used to live in Louisville. It’s a terrible place, but I won’t mind visiting for two days for the derby. It’s been on my bucket list.
Posted By: butch sanders

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/02/22 09:41 PM

Originally Posted by Flyfisherman
Originally Posted by butch sanders
Originally Posted by Flyfisherman
I’m going in person. I can’t wait. Haven’t decided on my bets though.


it is a blast
Louisville is cooking this week
have fun

we were building Thunder Run at Kentucky Kingdom during Derby week
also watched the Grateful Dead from on top of the ride


I used to live in Louisville. It’s a terrible place, but I won’t mind visiting for two days for the derby. It’s been on my bucket list.


i thought you did
i had fun there
Posted By: Rescue Fire

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/02/22 10:29 PM

Don’t do [censored] til butch and Scagnetti tell you to do it.
Posted By: horseplaydvm

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/03/22 12:33 AM

Inside tip.
Put Barber Road in your pics. That horse had a bad trip every race at Oaklawn this meet and always came closing at the end. He even sprung a front shoe in the Arkansas Derby. The mile and 1/4 race will be his distance. thumb
Posted By: Rescue Fire

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/03/22 01:40 AM

We can put a man on the moon but we can’t fix a horse’s foot?
Posted By: lconn4

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/03/22 01:57 AM

Speaking of the Kentucky Derby, my appointment in Talco this morning was with a thoroughbred trainer from Brazil that trained at Del Mar and just moved here from San Diego two days ago. cheers Oh and he isn’t listed as trainer but said he trained 2000 KD winner, Fusaichi Pegasus.
Posted By: butch sanders

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/03/22 12:41 PM

Originally Posted by horseplaydvm
Inside tip.
Put Barber Road in your pics. That horse had a bad trip every race at Oaklawn this meet and always came closing at the end. He even sprung a front shoe in the Arkansas Derby. The mile and 1/4 race will be his distance. thumb


Will he be ok with the giant field
That’s a good trifecta pick
4 horse box
Posted By: Floon Swenson

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/03/22 02:54 PM

Horses? Are there horses? I thought this was about hats and bourbon.
Posted By: Donpilot

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/03/22 03:33 PM

Originally Posted by hopalong
do some 2 horse box exactas for 2-5 bucks, 5 only costs 10 to box and longshot returns usually pay well.


missed betting on pat day way back when I lived in co. and he was on a horse in the field and something like 15 or 20-1, next 2 in line were also in the same long shot odds.

the one time I didn't bet one of my favorite jockeys. bang

I was off some. lol


With Arazi sent off at 9-10 odds, Lil E. Tee was 16-1 and returned $35.60 to win, the best payoff for a Derby winner since Ferdinand’s $37.40 in 1986 and the 10th best Derby price ever.

The $2 exacta on Lil E. Tee and Casual Lies paid $854.40.



Pat day either beat you or paid $.20.
Posted By: Sawhorse

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/03/22 07:01 PM

Does the winning horse know that it won?
Posted By: bigrebar

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/03/22 07:36 PM

Originally Posted by Sawhorse
Does the winning horse know that it won?


Does the second horse know it's the first looser?
Posted By: butch sanders

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/03/22 08:42 PM

Originally Posted by Donpilot
Originally Posted by hopalong
do some 2 horse box exactas for 2-5 bucks, 5 only costs 10 to box and longshot returns usually pay well.


missed betting on pat day way back when I lived in co. and he was on a horse in the field and something like 15 or 20-1, next 2 in line were also in the same long shot odds.

the one time I didn't bet one of my favorite jockeys. bang

I was off some. lol


With Arazi sent off at 9-10 odds, Lil E. Tee was 16-1 and returned $35.60 to win, the best payoff for a Derby winner since Ferdinand’s $37.40 in 1986 and the 10th best Derby price ever.

The $2 exacta on Lil E. Tee and Casual Lies paid $854.40.



Pat day either beat you or paid $.20.


Pat was a killer
Posted By: butch sanders

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/03/22 08:47 PM

Originally Posted by Sawhorse
Does the winning horse know that it won?


100%
Posted By: John Peebles

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/07/22 01:43 AM

Rain is supposed to stop by early morning in Louisville.

With the big field I'm gonna fades some of the favorites and exacta wheel.

#12
over #3,#15,#1,# 6

Ex Box
12, 15, 3

Like those picks Ted cheers
Hope they show up tomorrow!
Posted By: elcoyote, esq.

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/07/22 01:54 AM

Originally Posted by bigrebar
Originally Posted by Sawhorse
Does the winning horse know that it won?


Does the second horse know it's the first looser?


BigBob… wanna help me out here?
Posted By: butch sanders

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/08/22 12:55 AM

wow
every few years this happens
you need a full day of handicapping
to cover all the exotics
to hit this score
Posted By: butch sanders

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/08/22 12:56 AM

i don't think any of us saw this coming
Posted By: Scagnetti

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/08/22 12:58 AM

Still hard to believe this happened

The jock had a perfect trip
Posted By: gregpaul

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/08/22 01:07 AM

Magnificent animals
Posted By: Donpilot

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/08/22 01:32 AM

There will be rule changes on scratch horses before next year.
Posted By: Mudshark

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/08/22 01:57 AM

The winning horse was a jerk. Did you see how he acted after the race?
Posted By: John Peebles

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/08/22 02:00 AM

Originally Posted by butch sanders
i don't think any of us saw this coming



Saw a guy cash out at the betting window for 8 grand plus. Said his strategy was to put $100 on all the long shots.
Posted By: ReelSlow

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/08/22 02:16 AM

Best horse race I've ever seen. Watch the replay if you missed the race. Even if you don't watch or care anything about horse racing, you will be amazed watching the Jockey weave in and out through a dozen horses from 4th to last when he got to the marker or last turn before the back stretch. Rich Strike got into the Derby 30 minutes before the deadline because of a scratch (dropped out) of another horse. Rich Strike was 84-1 odds. 2nd longest odds in the Derby's history.


Originally Posted by Rescue Fire
We can put a man on the moon but we can’t fix a horse’s foot?


Probably more money spent on treating hoof issues a year than it took to put a man on the moon.
Posted By: ReelSlow

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/08/22 02:21 AM

Originally Posted by Mudshark
The winning horse was a jerk. Did you see how he acted after the race?


Yea, he was jacked up and wanted no part of that Pony Horse. The rider that was supposed to Pony him should have given up right away and let the Jockey ride him out again. He is lucky he didn't get a finger Bit off when he was taking hold go Rich Strike's bit.
Posted By: Ted Dyer

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/08/22 02:37 AM

Screwed up a perfectly good exact bet.
Posted By: butch sanders

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/08/22 02:20 PM

Originally Posted by ReelSlow
Originally Posted by Mudshark
The winning horse was a jerk. Did you see how he acted after the race?


Yea, he was jacked up and wanted no part of that Pony Horse. The rider that was supposed to Pony him should have given up right away and let the Jockey ride him out again. He is lucky he didn't get a finger Bit off when he was taking hold go Rich Strike's bit.


yes they should have let him run a little bit
he knew he won the race & was amped up
Posted By: butch sanders

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/08/22 02:22 PM

Originally Posted by Donpilot
There will be rule changes on scratch horses before next year.


how come?
Posted By: butch sanders

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/08/22 02:23 PM

Originally Posted by John Peebles
Originally Posted by butch sanders
i don't think any of us saw this coming



Saw a guy cash out at the betting window for 8 grand plus. Said his strategy was to put $100 on all the long shots.


thats a good strategy
when it happens
Posted By: WAWI

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/08/22 04:10 PM

Originally Posted by Mudshark
The winning horse was a jerk. Did you see how he acted after the race?


That's how little boy horses be. It amazes me everytime one actually acts right. Even my old geldings spend most of their time biting each other and acting stupid
Posted By: Duck_Hunter

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/08/22 04:14 PM

Originally Posted by Scagnetti
Still hard to believe this happened

The jock had a perfect trip


The bird’s eye view of Rich Strike making its move from seemingly a mile back is awesome to watch.
Posted By: WAWI

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/08/22 04:36 PM

Originally Posted by Duck_Hunter
Originally Posted by Scagnetti
Still hard to believe this happened

The jock had a perfect trip


The bird’s eye view of Rich Strike making its move from seemingly a mile back is awesome to watch.

Yup, he could have got squeezed out. The stars all lined up for him.
Posted By: Bigbob_FTW

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/08/22 04:39 PM

Originally Posted by Duck_Hunter
Originally Posted by Scagnetti
Still hard to believe this happened

The jock had a perfect trip


The bird’s eye view of Rich Strike making its move from seemingly a mile back is awesome to watch.



The announcer never saw it. Great race to watch.
Posted By: Scagnetti

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/08/22 05:52 PM

Originally Posted by WAWI
Originally Posted by Duck_Hunter
Originally Posted by Scagnetti
Still hard to believe this happened

The jock had a perfect trip


The bird’s eye view of Rich Strike making its move from seemingly a mile back is awesome to watch.

Yup, he could have got squeezed out. The stars all lined up for him.


It was like the Red Sea parted.

He was behind 17 horses heading into the far turn and behind 14 horses as they entered the stretch. He wove his way through a 20-horse field and ran up the rail like you’d see in a movie.
Posted By: WAWI

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/08/22 06:55 PM

Originally Posted by Scagnetti
Originally Posted by WAWI
Originally Posted by Duck_Hunter
Originally Posted by Scagnetti
Still hard to believe this happened

The jock had a perfect trip


The bird’s eye view of Rich Strike making its move from seemingly a mile back is awesome to watch.

Yup, he could have got squeezed out. The stars all lined up for him.


It was like the Red Sea parted.

He was behind 17 horses heading into the far turn and behind 14 horses as they entered the stretch. He wove his way through a 20-horse field and ran up the rail like you’d see in a movie.


The red sea parting is a good way to describe what happened
Posted By: Fishin' Nut

Re: OT Experts - Kentucky Derby - 05/09/22 12:54 PM

Originally Posted by Flyfisherman
I used to live in Louisville. It’s a terrible place, but I won’t mind visiting for two days for the derby. It’s been on my bucket list.


I went there for the Catfish Conference. Nice place to visit. But if you want to visit the casino over the river in Indiana, have a good GPS and keep your doors locked until you arrive at your destination.
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