gulf weather

looks like it is forming up to be a goodun. my best guess is between houston/beaumont will be landfall.

gonna be some heavy rain and all kinds of flooding probably since we have been pretty wet so far.

stay tuned!

I agree and with it being a slow moving one that will make it worse.

I need to get down to Rockport this weekend. The bull tides will be in, and the reds will be back in the marsh grass. It will be. Blast.

New Orleans looks to get hit head on.

Yep. Puts me on the dry side. I could use the rain.

it's rolling sw from nola, looks like it will go a little more sw before moving west to the Tx coast.

http://radar.weather.gov/lite/N0R/LIX_loop.gif?e0fb4bf610f7c17a038314cb13df72ae

Send me some rain. Tired of giving the city my money for green grass.

It will be. Blast. for sure.

Blast.

Is there an ETA for when it hits land ?

Gonna be a Hurricane by Friday according to NHC. Mouth of Pearl River, MS to Morgan City, La.

Latest Track

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?start#contents

Uh..... so Covington prolly gonna get it? I guess my plans of surf fishing Long Beach MS Saturday are off?

I crossed the Mississippi at Baton Rouge Saturday, it looks about 5-6' from going over the levee.

with this scenario, I see a potential cat 5 landfall.

Hurricane or not, I would not go surf fishing in Mississippo right now.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/toxic-algae-update-closed-mississippi-beaches-hurting-local-businesses/

Gulfport, Miss. � With temperatures in the upper 90's Tuesday, it was a good day for a swim along the Gulf Coast of Mississippi. But a toxic algae bloom has forced the state to close all coastal beaches for swimming. There's even a warning against eating local seafood.

houston to beaumont is still my best guess, maybe sun/mon?

probably gonna be a bigun too, nothing has disturbed the gulf yet this yr. so plenty of warm coastal water.

now building ark!

For being a beer sales guy, you sure are good at killing buzzes! I've been catching 'em good around Gulfport down to Long Beach lately.

I've forgotten which hurricane but I limited on specks at SLP the Monday before and Friday of the same week. I was the only one fishing. The water was tea colored Friday.

It's already flooding in New Orleans. A friend of mines wife was evacuated from work this morning. My money says the storm will hit 48.7 miles east of Beaumont.

Blue water challenge out of Matagorda cancelled. Guess I will have to bass fish.

Yep

https://www.foxnews.com/us/new-orleans-flooding-barry-tropical-storm-threat

Hop, so tell me, 90 degrees and 70% humidity in the area is going to do what to the storm?

Appears to end up in the back yard

make it rain, rain a lot. oh, it will be stormy too.

be careful out there.

My Ebloacane response team will be there for the landfall doing training exercises to prepare as if this was the real thing. Practice makes perfect.

East of Beaumont So far east Houston doesn't even get rain.

If that map turns out to be accurate it puts the Monday (D) right on top of me. Lake O the Pines is still 8 foot high with some ramps still closed.

Anyone remember the 17"s of rain Houston got in 2001.

That caused a lot of economic damage. This will be the same if it lands in a populated area.

No, just remember the 50"s of water in 2017.

Tropical Storm Allison dropped 40" of rain on Houston over 3 days. Most of it in a 24 hour period. $8.5 billion in damages.

Just shifted a little east. Now back to John175 for our Social Media update of the day.

The latest radar I saw looks like it�s dying a slow death southwest of NOLA.

Our media correspondent Alexandra Rapinoe. (No relation to Cortez or Megan) Is out reporting what it would be like to get hit by an Ebola infested bat going 100mph.

If this is a poll, my vote goes for a direct hit on Brownsville and a slow track to the NW that exactly follows the Rio Grande.

How do you simulate that during Ebloacane Training?

derek drinks a 30 of naturdays and puts on a catchers mit.

it ain't pretty but dam is it effective!

Bring it. I need the rain.

Good deal Texas dodged a bullet

2 votes for that

Yep. I was trapped at the hospital for 4 days with the last significant rain event, without water for 3 of those days other than rationed bottled water. I did have beer though.

I do think it's weird that this low pressure is coming off the southeastern US into the Gulf becoming tropical. Can't remember that ever happening before. Also it's early in the season. Audrey was in June of 1957 and formed in the Gulf. Killed 400. I've talked to a couple of survivors.

Ever since Katrina hit it doesn't matter where the storm forms if it is coming into the Gulf of Mexico there will be at least 1 track that hits NO every single time!

Well great. Looks like it's going to get sporty around here on Saturday.

The Cap is strong for us against this one.

How do you see caps? Is there a website to see caps?

Y'all think a 3-6' surge and 14-18" of rain is gonna be a problem for the river? This pic is from yesterday.

I probably wouldn't be too close to the bank when the surge comes in.

when you comin to fork again?

Thinkin' about leavin' Louisiana about 3:30 today