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Re: Paying cash for house bad idea [Re: WAWI] #13647483 07/28/20 02:16 PM
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Originally Posted by WAWI
It's funny that all the "investors" on here make unpresidented returns on their money, perfectly time the market, and only pick winners. Who would have thought we were in the presence of such greatness. Hell Buffet should be down here getting investment advice.


Yeah, it's a very common skill along with tipping a minimum of 50% [i][/i][u][/u] of any restaurant check.

Re: Paying cash for house bad idea [Re: franchi] #13647496 07/28/20 02:22 PM
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franchi Offline OP
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Sorry meant to say 2005 for the 401k side also.

Re: Paying cash for house bad idea [Re: franchi] #13647529 07/28/20 02:47 PM
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There are maximum contribution amounts annually for a 401k. You could have invested what would have been your mortgage payment and maxed out the 401k mid year ish every year. Best of both worlds.

Re: Paying cash for house bad idea [Re: Jpurdue] #13647554 07/28/20 03:14 PM
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Originally Posted by Jpurdue
The S&P 500 has gone up 62% since 2015. If you've managed 400% over that same time period you've been lottery ticket lucky with your 401K picks. If you could do that again over the next 5 years, whatever business you are in is the wrong business! You should be managing money.

+1, unless you had an option for company stock and your company stock did exceptional i am not sure how you got 400%. Is 400% with contributions? I was with Fidelity and other then company stock there was no way to see a return that high.


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Re: Paying cash for house bad idea [Re: franchi] #13647701 07/28/20 04:35 PM
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i am up 25% for year to date currently. like i say learn the basics and stick to it. people panick and act like the world is falling then sell low and stay out while money is being made

Last edited by franchi; 07/28/20 04:36 PM.
Re: Paying cash for house bad idea [Re: hopalong] #13647716 07/28/20 04:43 PM
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Originally Posted by hopalong
not having the mortgage payment freed up that cash for more into the 401k, ira, portfolio etc.

win win I would think since any of the payment money invested is likely returning interest.

Hop, there's a special circumstance in recent years that has made it feasible to say it's better to have the mortgage - because of the unusually low rates.

Example: IF I have a $100,000 mortgage at 4%, I won't pay $4000 total in interest for the year because the principal is decreasing with each monthly payment. So, it's a little less, estimate 3.5%, or $3500.
Note that I get to deduct that interest when I file my income tax, so I shave some more off that $3500.

Now, with the "bar" set at 3.5%, can I invest the $100,000 and come out ahead? Any return greater than 3.5% is extra. On average, the S&P certainly beats that, especially over several years, often by a lot. You wouldn't even have to get lucky to beat it. Let's say I beat that and do 5%. I'm ahead by more than $1500 (remember that tax write-off on the mortgage interest). The second year, I now have $101,500 to invest, while at the same time, the interest on the mortgage decreases as the principal continues to decrease. It will be even easier to make more than what I pay in interest.

If I paid the $100k mortgage off, I don't have the note, but I don't have any investment return, so my net is $0 vs. $1500 in the first year alone if I keep the mortgage, but manage to make a mere 5% return on the investment. If the house value is increasing, it increases the same either way, so nothing lost there.

Yes, without the mortgage payment, I could start a new investment fund at $0 balance, but it would take a long time to build it up to the point it was making what I would make if I kept the mortgage AND the $100k (invested, of course).

The story would be different if that mortgage was 8%, and that's why the decision on what to do depends on the mortgage rate, and conservative market estimates.

Last edited by Flippin-Out; 07/28/20 04:49 PM.
Re: Paying cash for house bad idea [Re: Jpurdue] #13647736 07/28/20 05:00 PM
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Originally Posted by Jpurdue
The S&P 500 has gone up 62% since 2015. If you've managed 400% over that same time period you've been lottery ticket lucky with your 401K picks. If you could do that again over the next 5 years, whatever business you are in is the wrong business! You should be managing money.

Not defending high gain return claims as I don't know one way or the other, BUT..... you can't simply compare the S&P 500 to an investment result as apples to apples, EVEN if all they owned is the S&P 500. How you ask? Well, the S&P 500 must ride out all of it's downward spirals and then climb back to the next peak. Some of the largest gains I have made were from selling high, staying out of the market for a while (which the S&P 500 can't do), then buying back in at a much lower share price, catapulting my gains on the next rise.

Re: Paying cash for house bad idea [Re: franchi] #13647748 07/28/20 05:08 PM
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Originally Posted by franchi
i am up 25% for year to date currently. like i say learn the basics and stick to it. people panick and act like the world is falling then sell low and stay out while money is being made


Iā€™m going to have to see that return on a statement.

Re: Paying cash for house bad idea [Re: Tiltman] #13647762 07/28/20 05:24 PM
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Originally Posted by Tiltman
going into the next 6 months , I'd take a home paid for over investments on paper any day.


I have no faith in stocks in the current political climate.


That's more in line with my thinking.

Anything that can go up 400% can go down 400%, it's only real once the money is in your hands!


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Re: Paying cash for house bad idea [Re: Spiderman] #13647779 07/28/20 05:42 PM
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Originally Posted by Spiderman
Originally Posted by Tiltman
going into the next 6 months , I'd take a home paid for over investments on paper any day.


I have no faith in stocks in the current political climate.


That's more in line with my thinking.

Anything that can go up 400% can go down 400%, it's only real once the money is in your hands!



Ever heard of a housing crash? ....or even a neighborhood crash? ....an area that you thought was great 3-5 years ago suddenly gets blight for some reason (and there are many many reasons)

Last edited by Flippin-Out; 07/28/20 05:43 PM.
Re: Paying cash for house bad idea [Re: WAWI] #13647809 07/28/20 06:04 PM
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Originally Posted by WAWI
It's funny that all the "investors" on here make unpresidented returns on their money, perfectly time the market, and only pick winners. Who would have thought we were in the presence of such greatness. Hell Buffet should be down here getting investment advice.

I'm fixing to start asking for screenshots of P/L pages.

Re: Paying cash for house bad idea [Re: franchi] #13647820 07/28/20 06:15 PM
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My definition of having "made it" has always been having paid off my mortgage. From that point I am working for myself and I can put my money where I want it.

That said, I do not fully buy into the Dave Ramsey philosophy of all debt is bad debt. In times like now where it is so cheap to borrow, a very strong case can be made to keep yourself leveraged.


Re: Paying cash for house bad idea [Re: bloo_rainger] #13648087 07/28/20 09:35 PM
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Originally Posted by bloo_rainger
Originally Posted by franchi
i am up 25% for year to date currently. like i say learn the basics and stick to it. people panick and act like the world is falling then sell low and stay out while money is being made


Iā€™m going to have to see that return on a statement.





Heres a tip for you. My top mutual fund YTD is 55%. MSIF

Re: Paying cash for house bad idea [Re: franchi] #13648097 07/28/20 09:47 PM
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It really depends on your situation, how close to retirement you are, and your risk tolerance.

Debt on your house, and putting that equity into other investments (like stocks, or even more real estate) is more risky. The older you get, less risk you take.. There is no right answer with this, but you need to understand the total risk of you portfolio of assets, and that needs to be inline with your risk tolerance.

Re: Paying cash for house bad idea [Re: franchi] #13648122 07/28/20 10:10 PM
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100% of foreclosures happen on houses with a mortgage per Dave Ramsey

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