Everyone of my coworkers drives to our downtown SF office, some drive "close enough" and then BART. They'll uber/lyft/public to go to lunch or something.....but again....SF is not even close to what the subway system is in NYC nor is the population density. It's just not an accurate comparison.

I'll be glad to crunch the numbers on whatever data set you can give me. I used the only one I could find. For the time being, any number we use for actual infection rate would have to be made up.

two weeks ago on March 19th we had 13475 confirmed cases in the US. Now we have 14468 conclusions with 5607 deaths. I would say that most of the cases 2 weeks ago have come to a conclusion. Someone tell me the death rate is not huge. This Is only people tested. So if you are sick enough to be tested you have a 38% chance of dying?

That is funny, even though he is actually spraying the fence.

So any hope of this ending within a couple of weeks is just that, hope without much foundation. We are not nearly there, but it will continue increasing at an increasing rate. Hopefully we can get there without turning critically ill away from the hospital and keeping healthcare workers healthy.

Tough to know sir. The magic number here is R0. It matters far more than any other variable. If it's 2 or below (naturally), our social distancing measures already in place may slow this thing down and we could be coming out of this thing in June or July (if we held the measure in place long enough to get total active case numbers down into the hundreds where they could be tightly managed). This is essentially China's plan. If R0 is 2.5 or above (naturally) we are probably screwed until we get a therapy, a vaccine, or herd immunity. That's how much R0 matters, just a small variation and it means the difference between being in control and being screwed.

JPurdue's statement that reliable test are essential is proving to be true. So much misinformation about test and PPE has been so prevalent that no one has a clue of what to expect. Not sure what has been behind the misinformation but it certainly has done nothing to build confidence.

Did they really do it right?

I'm still trying to figure out my beliefs on quantum mechanics but after reading the linked report, studying the author's background, and noticing it was posted on April Fools Day, I'll say NO.