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Rain Rayburn
#13284445
09/17/19 11:51 PM
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Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 327
Stratos2011
OP
Angler
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OP
Angler
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 327 |
With the high likelihood of Rayburn getting a fair amount of rain in the next few days, what will that do to the fishing this weekend?
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Re: Rain Rayburn
[Re: Stratos2011]
#13284447
09/17/19 11:54 PM
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Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 10,559
Jarrett Latta
TFF Guru
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TFF Guru
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 10,559 |
Make it better. Lake won't come up much
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Re: Rain Rayburn
[Re: Stratos2011]
#13284463
09/18/19 12:10 AM
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Joined: Mar 2012
Posts: 11,008
BigDozer66
TFF Guru
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TFF Guru
Joined: Mar 2012
Posts: 11,008 |
It won't rise much.
2016 Ranger RT188 Charcoal Metallic Dual Console 2017 Yamaha 115 VMAX SHO (VF115LA) SS Prop Minn Kota Ultrex i-Pilot Link 45" 80 lb. Humminbird Helix 10 Mega SI BalZout Console Humminbird Helix 10 Mega SI BBT Bow Mount Trick Step
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Re: Rain Rayburn
[Re: BigDozer66]
#13284473
09/18/19 12:19 AM
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Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 327
Stratos2011
OP
Angler
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OP
Angler
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 327 |
Really? Why won’t it rise much? Is it because it’s such a big lake?
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Re: Rain Rayburn
[Re: Stratos2011]
#13284504
09/18/19 12:55 AM
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Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 9,188
the skipper
TFF Celebrity
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TFF Celebrity
Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 9,188 |
It has to be in right spot for it to rise and with everything so dry a lot will soak in to the ground. It should kick the fall pattern in gear though
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Re: Rain Rayburn
[Re: Stratos2011]
#13284694
09/18/19 03:24 AM
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Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 10,559
Jarrett Latta
TFF Guru
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TFF Guru
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 10,559 |
Really? Why won’t it rise much? Is it because it’s such a big lake? Has to rain a lot over the Angelina, attoyac, ayish watersheds for Rayburn to rise.
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Re: Rain Rayburn
[Re: Stratos2011]
#13284760
09/18/19 10:04 AM
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Joined: Jul 2004
Posts: 21,103
buda13
TFF Guru
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TFF Guru
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Posts: 21,103 |
Maybe y’all have seen a different forecast than I have... I see the potential for up to 10” of rain around Rayburn with wide spread flooding...
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Re: Rain Rayburn
[Re: buda13]
#13284826
09/18/19 12:12 PM
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Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 9,188
the skipper
TFF Celebrity
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Posts: 9,188 |
Maybe y’all have seen a different forecast than I have... I see the potential for up to 10” of rain around Rayburn with wide spread flooding... Needs to be just a little more north to have a big impact. It can rain right on Rayburn and not effect it to much but the same rain on the small watershed the lake has can make a big impact. It may rise some though. 1' would make for a sweet frog bite for sure
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Re: Rain Rayburn
[Re: the skipper]
#13284852
09/18/19 12:35 PM
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Joined: Mar 2012
Posts: 11,008
BigDozer66
TFF Guru
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TFF Guru
Joined: Mar 2012
Posts: 11,008 |
Maybe y’all have seen a different forecast than I have... I see the potential for up to 10” of rain around Rayburn with wide spread flooding... Needs to be just a little more north to have a big impact. It can rain right on Rayburn and not effect it to much but the same rain on the small watershed the lake has can make a big impact. It may rise some though. 1' would make for a sweet frog bite for sure Our local weather station has said 6-8" possible so 10" is not of the realm of possibilities. It would depend on where it actually hits.
2016 Ranger RT188 Charcoal Metallic Dual Console 2017 Yamaha 115 VMAX SHO (VF115LA) SS Prop Minn Kota Ultrex i-Pilot Link 45" 80 lb. Humminbird Helix 10 Mega SI BalZout Console Humminbird Helix 10 Mega SI BBT Bow Mount Trick Step
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Re: Rain Rayburn
[Re: Stratos2011]
#13284998
09/18/19 02:41 PM
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Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 10,559
Jarrett Latta
TFF Guru
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TFF Guru
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 10,559 |
If that's the forecast it definitely won't get much. The watershed is literally due north of the lake. The rain on top of the lake does nothing. It needs to be north from the lake extending 20-30 miles+. That forecast had most going into the neches river. I will say this though, if the neches and Beaumont area flood, Rayburn has to hold everything that comes in until the neches goes down at Beaumont. That's the only thing that help Rayburn rise.
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Re: Rain Rayburn
[Re: Stratos2011]
#13285467
09/18/19 09:11 PM
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Joined: Mar 2012
Posts: 11,008
BigDozer66
TFF Guru
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TFF Guru
Joined: Mar 2012
Posts: 11,008 |
We have only gotten about a 1/2" here in Nacogdoches today.
I heard reports of Hemphill getting upwards of 11" already but that will not help Rayburn at all.
Like Jarrett said it will only go in the Neches or the Angelina (below Rayburn) and that would only help Dam B.
2016 Ranger RT188 Charcoal Metallic Dual Console 2017 Yamaha 115 VMAX SHO (VF115LA) SS Prop Minn Kota Ultrex i-Pilot Link 45" 80 lb. Humminbird Helix 10 Mega SI BalZout Console Humminbird Helix 10 Mega SI BBT Bow Mount Trick Step
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Re: Rain Rayburn
[Re: Stratos2011]
#13285509
09/18/19 09:56 PM
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Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 10,559
Jarrett Latta
TFF Guru
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TFF Guru
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 10,559 |
Just really depends on the rain trains over the right area. I saw a euro model earlier that had upwards of 15-18" north of nacogdoches to Shreveport. If that happens, it'll come up certainly
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Re: Rain Rayburn
[Re: Stratos2011]
#13285875
09/19/19 02:24 AM
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Joined: Aug 2008
Posts: 6,063
Billy Blazer 300 HPDI
TFF Celebrity
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TFF Celebrity
Joined: Aug 2008
Posts: 6,063 |
That euro model is a joke. It may get a couple 2-3 inches at best and the northern end maybe less my best buses and I’m a really bad weather man!"
Thanks, Billy
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Re: Rain Rayburn
[Re: Billy Blazer 300 HPDI]
#13285965
09/19/19 04:08 AM
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Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 10,559
Jarrett Latta
TFF Guru
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TFF Guru
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 10,559 |
That euro model is a joke. It may get a couple 2-3 inches at best and the northern end maybe less my best buses and I’m a really bad weather man!" I don't know. New forecast has it only moving 2-3 mph with highest totals north of nacogdoches
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Re: Rain Rayburn
[Re: Stratos2011]
#13286104
09/19/19 12:25 PM
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Joined: Nov 2002
Posts: 5,039
BMCD
TFF Celebrity
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TFF Celebrity
Joined: Nov 2002
Posts: 5,039 |
Choot heard 59 is closed around Cleveland this morning, that will block me from making the event. Hopefully that will clear out.
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