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Jan 23rd, 2013
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Rain Rayburn #13284445 09/17/19 11:51 PM
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Stratos2011 Offline OP
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With the high likelihood of Rayburn getting a fair amount of rain in the next few days, what will that do to the fishing this weekend?

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Re: Rain Rayburn [Re: Stratos2011] #13284447 09/17/19 11:54 PM
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Jarrett Latta Offline
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Make it better. Lake won't come up much

Re: Rain Rayburn [Re: Stratos2011] #13284463 09/18/19 12:10 AM
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It won't rise much. fish


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Re: Rain Rayburn [Re: BigDozer66] #13284473 09/18/19 12:19 AM
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Stratos2011 Offline OP
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Really? Why won’t it rise much? Is it because it’s such a big lake?

Re: Rain Rayburn [Re: Stratos2011] #13284504 09/18/19 12:55 AM
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It has to be in right spot for it to rise and with everything so dry a lot will soak in to the ground. It should kick the fall pattern in gear though

Re: Rain Rayburn [Re: Stratos2011] #13284694 09/18/19 03:24 AM
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Originally Posted by Stratos2011
Really? Why won’t it rise much? Is it because it’s such a big lake?


Has to rain a lot over the Angelina, attoyac, ayish watersheds for Rayburn to rise.

Re: Rain Rayburn [Re: Stratos2011] #13284760 09/18/19 10:04 AM
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Maybe y’all have seen a different forecast than I have... I see the potential for up to 10” of rain around Rayburn with wide spread flooding...

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Re: Rain Rayburn [Re: buda13] #13284826 09/18/19 12:12 PM
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Originally Posted by buda13
Maybe y’all have seen a different forecast than I have... I see the potential for up to 10” of rain around Rayburn with wide spread flooding...

[Linked Image]

Needs to be just a little more north to have a big impact. It can rain right on Rayburn and not effect it to much but the same rain on the small watershed the lake has can make a big impact. It may rise some though. 1' would make for a sweet frog bite for sure

Re: Rain Rayburn [Re: the skipper] #13284852 09/18/19 12:35 PM
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Originally Posted by the skipper
Originally Posted by buda13
Maybe y’all have seen a different forecast than I have... I see the potential for up to 10” of rain around Rayburn with wide spread flooding...

[Linked Image]

Needs to be just a little more north to have a big impact. It can rain right on Rayburn and not effect it to much but the same rain on the small watershed the lake has can make a big impact. It may rise some though. 1' would make for a sweet frog bite for sure


Our local weather station has said 6-8" possible so 10" is not of the realm of possibilities.

It would depend on where it actually hits.


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Re: Rain Rayburn [Re: Stratos2011] #13284998 09/18/19 02:41 PM
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If that's the forecast it definitely won't get much. The watershed is literally due north of the lake. The rain on top of the lake does nothing. It needs to be north from the lake extending 20-30 miles+. That forecast had most going into the neches river. I will say this though, if the neches and Beaumont area flood, Rayburn has to hold everything that comes in until the neches goes down at Beaumont. That's the only thing that help Rayburn rise.

Re: Rain Rayburn [Re: Stratos2011] #13285467 09/18/19 09:11 PM
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We have only gotten about a 1/2" here in Nacogdoches today.

I heard reports of Hemphill getting upwards of 11" already but that will not help Rayburn at all.

Like Jarrett said it will only go in the Neches or the Angelina (below Rayburn) and that would only help Dam B.


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Re: Rain Rayburn [Re: Stratos2011] #13285509 09/18/19 09:56 PM
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Just really depends on the rain trains over the right area. I saw a euro model earlier that had upwards of 15-18" north of nacogdoches to Shreveport. If that happens, it'll come up certainly

Re: Rain Rayburn [Re: Stratos2011] #13285875 09/19/19 02:24 AM
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That euro model is a joke. It may get a couple 2-3 inches at best and the northern end maybe less my best buses and I’m a really bad weather man!"


Thanks, Billy
Re: Rain Rayburn [Re: Billy Blazer 300 HPDI] #13285965 09/19/19 04:08 AM
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Originally Posted by Billy Blazer 300 HPDI
That euro model is a joke. It may get a couple 2-3 inches at best and the northern end maybe less my best buses and I’m a really bad weather man!"


I don't know. New forecast has it only moving 2-3 mph with highest totals north of nacogdoches

Re: Rain Rayburn [Re: Stratos2011] #13286104 09/19/19 12:25 PM
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Choot heard 59 is closed around Cleveland this morning, that will block me from making the event. Hopefully that will clear out.

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