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Jan 23rd, 2013
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Think Harvey can fill up Falcon??? #12398250
08/23/17 10:12 PM
08/23/17 10:12 PM
Joined: Oct 2012
Posts: 153
Conroe, Texas
M
mhall1986 Offline OP
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mhall1986  Offline OP
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Joined: Oct 2012
Posts: 153
Conroe, Texas
What do you guys down south think this storm can do for the lake? I've read reports for years seems like for people calling for a hurricane to hit to fill up the lake. Well it looks like this weekend just may be it. I hope you guys stay safe if y'all get hit.

Re: Think Harvey can fill up Falcon??? [Re: mhall1986] #12398253
08/23/17 10:14 PM
08/23/17 10:14 PM
Joined: May 2012
Posts: 4,523
San Antonio, Texas
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bigbass94 Offline
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San Antonio, Texas
I hope so, but I won't hold my breath. Hoping Choke Canyon gets some water too. Here in San Antonio we're supposed to get 7 inches.


"If people concentrated on the really important things in life, there'd be a shortage of fishing poles." - Doug Larson
Re: Think Harvey can fill up Falcon??? [Re: bigbass94] #12398255
08/23/17 10:18 PM
08/23/17 10:18 PM
Joined: May 2003
Posts: 8,815
Prosper, TX
Chris B Online content
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Chris B  Online Content
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Prosper, TX
Doesn't look like it is hitting Falcons water shed. Hopefully Choke will catch some water.



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Re: Think Harvey can fill up Falcon??? [Re: mhall1986] #12398264
08/23/17 10:26 PM
08/23/17 10:26 PM
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 2,343
Frisco, TX
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Chris G Offline
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Chris G  Offline
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Joined: Nov 2008
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Frisco, TX
Falcon will most likely get very little from Harvey. Falcon needs a storm to come from the West Coast through Mexico to hit it where it needs to be hit. Here's the most current map of forecasted rainfalls over the next 7 days from the storm. If it remains accurate Falcon will see maybe a couple of inches of rain and possibly none.



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Re: Think Harvey can fill up Falcon??? [Re: mhall1986] #12398268
08/23/17 10:28 PM
08/23/17 10:28 PM
Joined: Jan 2008
Posts: 135
NW Missouri
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Igofish2 Offline
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Igofish2  Offline
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NW Missouri
It doesn't look like it helps Falcon much, but any little bit is better that nothing.
A strong westward track movement before land fall would help more.

Re: Think Harvey can fill up Falcon??? [Re: mhall1986] #12398272
08/23/17 10:31 PM
08/23/17 10:31 PM
Joined: Jun 2015
Posts: 6,353
Lake Conroe/Willis
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Kicker16 Offline
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Lake Conroe/Willis
I think Falcon will be on the drier side of the storm, hopefully they can get a couple inches though.

Re: Think Harvey can fill up Falcon??? [Re: mhall1986] #12398280
08/23/17 10:36 PM
08/23/17 10:36 PM
Joined: Mar 2005
Posts: 3,716
Hill county
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Legend LE-195 Offline
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Hill county
When was the last time we had a hurricane actually fill up lakes?, people always say this but I can never remember it happening, what I do remember were droughts following Rita and Ike.

Last edited by Bossbowman; 08/23/17 10:37 PM.
Re: Think Harvey can fill up Falcon??? [Re: Legend LE-195] #12398304
08/23/17 10:57 PM
08/23/17 10:57 PM
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 2,343
Frisco, TX
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Chris G Offline
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Frisco, TX
Originally Posted By: Bossbowman
When was the last time we had a hurricane actually fill up lakes?, people always say this but I can never remember it happening, what I do remember were droughts following Rita and Ike.


A hurricane is not different than a low pressure system that comes from the NW west and makes its way to Texas and sits and rains for a week. That is what filled up Lake Travis that was I think 80' low and maybe more. Hurricanes are just low pressure systems that form over the water and build into strong storms with high winds.


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Re: Think Harvey can fill up Falcon??? [Re: mhall1986] #12398372
08/23/17 11:47 PM
08/23/17 11:47 PM
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 8,321
Austin, Tx/Nacogdoches, Tx
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Jaret Latta Online content
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Austin, Tx/Nacogdoches, Tx
Would be awesome if it went up the Rio grande. Maybe next time...

Re: Think Harvey can fill up Falcon??? [Re: mhall1986] #12398408
08/24/17 12:06 AM
08/24/17 12:06 AM
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 8,321
Austin, Tx/Nacogdoches, Tx
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Jaret Latta Online content
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Austin, Tx/Nacogdoches, Tx
The latest stearing models have collapsed. It could literally go west or east or sit in South Texas for 3 days. Dangerous situation for lots of people

Re: Think Harvey can fill up Falcon??? [Re: mhall1986] #12398521
08/24/17 01:11 AM
08/24/17 01:11 AM
Joined: Aug 2008
Posts: 3,493
League City, Tx/Rayburn Countr...
Billy Blazer 300 HPDI Offline
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League City, Tx/Rayburn Countr...
It would have to go in 100 miles south of Brownsville to do much for Falcon. I wish it would get some water. Choke has a chance to get some, but it depends on where the storm goes.

I've lived on the coast for a long time and we will know when its over.

I got a feeling I'm not going to have to water my yard for a good while. Houston has been going through its 5th wettest Aug on record. Could get interesting.


Thanks, Billy
Re: Think Harvey can fill up Falcon??? [Re: mhall1986] #12398527
08/24/17 01:15 AM
08/24/17 01:15 AM
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 1,530
abilene,texas
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pil,b Offline
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abilene,texas
Any thing to help leave water in Amistad

Re: Think Harvey can fill up Falcon??? [Re: mhall1986] #12398530
08/24/17 01:16 AM
08/24/17 01:16 AM
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 1,530
abilene,texas
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pil,b Offline
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abilene,texas
I'll bet James is doing a rain dance

Re: Think Harvey can fill up Falcon??? [Re: mhall1986] #12398551
08/24/17 01:26 AM
08/24/17 01:26 AM
Joined: Jul 2017
Posts: 50
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mossyback75 Offline
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They are calling for possibly 40" of rain here in Corpus Christi. If that happens I will no doubt have at least a foot of water inside my house. Puckered

Re: Think Harvey can fill up Falcon??? [Re: mhall1986] #12399319
08/24/17 04:48 PM
08/24/17 04:48 PM
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 2,343
Frisco, TX
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Chris G Offline
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Chris G  Offline
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Frisco, TX
I've been watching this very closely because my mom lives on Matagorda Bay close to Port O'Connor and we have a ranch in Pettus with 500+ very valuable animals.

All of the forecast keep showing significant strengthening and potentially horrible rain totals for most of the Texas Coast. I still think Falcon gets very little from it but i fear it could be a very bad deal from Corpus to Houston. Hopefully people close to the "bullseye" are getting out of town now. My mom is packing up and will be at our ranch this evening.

Here's an updated estimated rainfall map. You'll notice the coverage of the 10-15+" area has grown significantly since the last map I posted.



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