Honestly, this time of year, I don't think it makes that big a difference. However, I'll defer to some of you that specialize in surf fishing for reds. All I know is the reds are going to be staging in the surf and near the passes soon. I remember one night in late August or early September anchoring in the North channel heading out of San Luis Pass - casting to the shallow bar...we caut 39 reds in 1.5 hours on cut mullet. Magical experience. I don't think it would have made a difference if we were throwing mullet/pogies/croaker or shoe leather. If it was in front of their face, they ate it.
Good luck to all!!