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Re: Tropical Rain [Re: SteezMacQueen] #10918547 06/15/15 06:25 PM
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timwins31 Offline
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Originally Posted By: SteezMacQueen
Haha
It's just gonna be a big rain. Nothing crazy.


Dude they're predicting another 8 inches in the metroplex, on average. That means there'll be places that get 10+ inches in two days. . .thats harder rain that we had last month. . .and there's literally no where for it to go. This is going to be catastrophic.

Moritz Chevrolet - 9101 Camp Bowie W Blvd, Fort Worth, TX - Monte Coon (817) 696-2003
Re: Tropical Rain [Re: timwins31] #10918584 06/15/15 06:42 PM
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Tony_Wornick Offline
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With the water table soaked, it will not take much to flood.



Re: Tropical Rain [Re: Mark Jones] #10918592 06/15/15 06:50 PM
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I heard this a few years ago and we got a shower...not the huge deluge they were predicting.
It's a guessing game for them, no matter what the computers predict.

Re: Tropical Rain [Re: Txduckhunter] #10918637 06/15/15 07:13 PM
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Originally Posted By: Txduckhunter
I heard this a few years ago and we got a shower...not the huge deluge they were predicting.
It's a guessing game for them, no matter what the computers predict.


I'm not saying it's going to happen this time, but years ago during the drought one of the hurricanes was supposed to bring 8-10 inches of rain to East Texas. We basically got nothing but a heavy drizzle. As I sat and watched out the window I told my wife, "I've played golf in heavier rain than this."

Last edited by Razorback; 06/15/15 07:14 PM.
Re: Tropical Rain [Re: Txduckhunter] #10918655 06/15/15 07:25 PM
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Originally Posted By: Txduckhunter
I heard this a few years ago and we got a shower...not the huge deluge they were predicting.
It's a guessing game for them, no matter what the computers predict.


That's true to some extent. But - when the computers predict, they also say how much the margin of error likely is. Often it's fairly high. This time all of the major computers are predicting almost the exact same path and rainfall amounts. That equals a very accurate forecast - usually.

Re: Tropical Rain [Re: Razorback] #10918657 06/15/15 07:25 PM
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Originally Posted By: Razorback
Originally Posted By: Txduckhunter
I heard this a few years ago and we got a shower...not the huge deluge they were predicting.
It's a guessing game for them, no matter what the computers predict.


I'm not saying it's going to happen this time, but years ago during the drought one of the hurricanes was supposed to bring 8-10 inches of rain to East Texas. We basically got nothing but a heavy drizzle. As I sat and watched out the window I told my wife, "I've played golf in heavier rain than this."


You explained it with the highlighted section, that system died out when it made landfall because of the drought, there was no moisture to feed it. That won't be the case this time.

Re: Tropical Rain [Re: timwins31] #10918679 06/15/15 07:38 PM
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Originally Posted By: timwins31
Originally Posted By: Txduckhunter
I heard this a few years ago and we got a shower...not the huge deluge they were predicting.
It's a guessing game for them, no matter what the computers predict.


That's true to some extent. But - when the computers predict, they also say how much the margin of error likely is. Often it's fairly high. This time all of the major computers are predicting almost the exact same path and rainfall amounts. That equals a very accurate forecast - usually.


What's the latest predicted path? Still roughly up I-35? I think earlier one of the models was showing it would go more NW and the bullseye of heaviest rain would be in west central Texas. I wish it would happen that way.

Re: Tropical Rain [Re: Mark Jones] #10918682 06/15/15 07:44 PM
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Land fall between Corpus and Matagorda Bay.


"Things turn out best for those who make the best of the way things turn out" - Zachary Troy Schrah - a young man with vision far beyond his years.
Re: Tropical Rain [Re: Mark Jones] #10918687 06/15/15 07:47 PM
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First rain bands from SE Gulf starting to hit Houston. Scroll down to see live radar.

http://weather.click2houston.com/


"Things turn out best for those who make the best of the way things turn out" - Zachary Troy Schrah - a young man with vision far beyond his years.
Re: Tropical Rain [Re: Mark Jones] #10918708 06/15/15 07:58 PM
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Don't tell me...as 10-15 inches of rain falls in and around Corpus Christi and a catastrophic 100 year flood is taking place, the people who run Choke Canyon will open the gates wide open so they can provide fresh water from the lake to the estuary.

Sorry, couldn't resist.

On a serious note, thunderstorms are dumping rain on the watersheds of Ivie and Hubbard Creek. It won't be enough to cause the lakes to rise significantly, but maybe they will at least stop for a while the slow fall that has started.

Re: Tropical Rain [Re: Jarrett Latta] #10918742 06/15/15 08:15 PM
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let it rain it will be dry soon enough again!


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Re: Tropical Rain [Re: Mark Jones] #10918784 06/15/15 08:38 PM
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Let it rain where? Only west texas actually needs water

Re: Tropical Rain [Re: Mark Jones] #10919209 06/16/15 12:46 AM
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Essentially any rain that falls east of 98W is doing nothing but harm now.

Re: Tropical Rain [Re: Mark Jones] #10919280 06/16/15 01:21 AM
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It's true.

Re: Tropical Rain [Re: Mark Jones] #10920737 06/16/15 06:50 PM
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You guys thought I was joking about Rayburn getting too high to get under the 147 Bridge for the Bass Champs Shoot Out!
Gonna be interesting!!! noidea

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